Our current CO2 levels are in the neighborhood of 400 ppm. There was a time at the beginning of the Eocene Epoch when Co2 level were from 700 to 900 ppm. This was a time when the Earth was virtually ice free! If we take what the Climate Alarmists are telling us today, life on this planet should have been wiped out and the planet should have been rendered uninhabitable from that time forward! Earth should have become "Another Venus!" It did not! Life flourished on this much warmer ice free world.
These changes happened over millennia! Humans could not burn enough fossil fuel in 1,000 years, even 100,000 years to increase the CO2 level that high! These levels were reached over a time when the Earth was experiencing massive volcanic activity over millions of years.
What lowered CO2 levels and brought these warm times to an end in just over 49 million years!? Life! Plants absorbed CO2 through photosynthesis, died and sank into the ground or to the bottom of the ocean. Trapping Carbon inside the earth. Much of the oil, gas and coal we use today came from this time period!
Will Earth ever become the next Venus? No it will not, no matter what man does.
Venus is closer to the sun, has a rotational day slightly less than the length of its revolutionary year, therefor a square mile of Venus surface faces the sun for approximately 2/3 of its year, Venus is being stretched by tidal forces by the sun resulting in increased volcanic activity, thus the cause of the high CO2 and Sulfur in its atmosphere! Venus does not have what Earth does! LIFE! Life is the consummate "Energy consumer!" Using and storing the energy of the sun!
So, by all things SCIENCE! The position than "man" is destroying the Earth through his activities using fossil fuels is completely preposterous!
As we all know, science progresses best when people in authority declare what theories are true and which are false, and then censor and silence anyone who disagrees. This saves a lot of time and effort that would otherwise have been wasted on theories that the authorities have already decided are wrong. Just imagine how much further along science would be today if only the elites had been more forceful about silencing trouble-makers like Galileo, Pasteur, and Columbus.
"Formal weather stations, which before the mid-1800s were mostly in Europe and the US, became ubiquitous enough by 1880 to provide a robust picture of global temperature."
All of which coincides with 2 events, the end of the "little ice age" and the start of the Industrial Revolution. So, if as the global warming alarmists say, the earth is warming due to man burning fossil fuels we should see a recorded increase in global temperature from 1880 to today?
But that is absolutely, provably not the case!
You can go here and get weather station data from over 200 US cities going back over 130 years depending on the city.
This data contains daily minimum and maximum temperatures.
With a little Excel skills you can chart out "Average Yearly Temperatures" for any of these Cities.
I have done this for a random sample of these cities. (I have not done them all but that is a project I will be doing.)
I've charted out Miami FL, Topeka KS, Lincoln NB, Cheyenne WY, None of these show any appreciable increase in temperature over 130 years. NONE! In fact the charts are as close to a straight line as one might get with this kind of data. What these charts show is that average yearly temperature of these cities does not change by more than a few degrees each year over a 130 year period. The same 130 years that humans have been burning fossil fuel! The main cause of warming the alarmists cite!*
So any declaration that "Last year was the warmest year on record." is an absolute LIE!
John's article is absolutely spot on! I invite him to do exactly what I've done and he will see that the evidence is indisputable and reproducible! Exactly what "Science" as all about!
*Obviously I cannot post the charts here but look me up on twitter and find any of my tweets re: Climate Change and you'll find these charts. @OldGeek9
I haven't looked at the data like you have, and it's very interesting, because it certainly flies in the face of what I read. I will say one thing that certainly could create the appearance of warming- how much has the global population increased since 1880? How has the area around these weather stations changed- is a once rural suburb that has changed into an large urban city full of air conditioned buildings a potential "heat island?" Thanks.
When someone says, "You must believe me because I have these impressive credentials" -- he has a fancy diploma or he works for an organization with an impressive-sounding name -- I immediately doubt them. If what you are saying is true, show me the evidence. If you have solid evidence, then your credentials are superfluous. If you don't have evidence, then your credentials are irrelevant.
Excellent comments by jay and Clifra Jones- sorting out the facts by looking at the data is using the telescope with the little end towards you. Starting with the politics, then cherry picking the data is like swinging the scope around and seeing almost nothing. My skepticism certainly includes academics, esp given the leftist slant in professorships, but look at what happens to a global warming prediction that is supposed to happen within a short time span, like Al Gore's glacier melting/sea rise, yet Biden has John Kerry running around like Al was right or something. What will happen in what, 10 years from now, when Greta Thunberg's "end of life on our planet" warning proves to be as ridiculous as it sounds? The smart grifters at least have realized that they'd better make their predictions 80 to 100 years out, so no one will be alive to rebuke them when they prove to be bogus. So much of the COVID response was hysterical- "We've got to do SOMETHING!"- then it evolved into Kabuki theater, shaming, totalitarianism, and virtue signaling that must be enforced even after the facts from studies and data came out. If it really was smart to quarantine everybody when they were 99+% likely to survive anyways, why isn't the speed limit on the interstates set at 20 MPH, if safety is the only thing that matters? Of course it shouldn't have been done the way it was, but our corporate media did a wonderful job of panicking the flock of sheep. Thanks, John, for making this connection.
The bright spot I see in all this is that it may lead people to be more rightly skeptical when someone says, "Science has proven that ..." Is there really convincing scientific evidence? Or is that just something that the elites find pleasant or convenient to believe? The elites have been pulling this "if you question me you're a crazy anti-science fanatic" on many subjects: covid, global warming, evolution, etc.
"The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence."
Following are the correct predictions of Allan MacRae and colleagues on two important subjects:
– GLOBAL WARMING ALARMISM
– COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS AND ”VACCINES”
Our scientific predictions on both these subjects are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date.
The Climate and Covid fraudsters even linked the two frauds, saying “To solve Covid we must also solve Climate – utter nonsense, spouted by the usual woke imbeciles.
SUMMARY - THE CLIMATE AND GREEN ENERGY FRAUD
Correct Climate and Energy Predictions from 2002:
In 2002 co-authors Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton, Ottawa and Allan MacRae published:
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
The Greens’ Predictive Climate and Energy Record is the Worst
The ability to predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.
Climate doomsters have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – every very-scary climate prediction, of the ~80 they have made since 1970, has FAILED TO HAPPEN.
“Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”
By the end of 2020, the climate doomsters were proved wrong in their scary climate predictions 48 times. At 50:50 odds for each prediction, that is like flipping a coin 48 times and losing every time! The probability of that being mere random stupidity is 1 in 281 trillion! It’s not just global warming scientists being stupid.
But no sensible person makes a 50:50 prediction – at 60:40 the odds against being this wrong are 1 in 13 quintillion; at 70:30 the odds against being this wrong are 1 in 13 septillion.
These climate doomsters have not been telling the truth – they displayed a dishonest bias in their analyses that caused these extremely improbable falsehoods, these frauds.
The global warming alarmists have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – they have been 100% wrong about every scary climate prediction – so nobody should believe them.
There is a powerful logic that says no rational person or group could be this wrong for this long – the warming alarmists have followed a corrupt agenda – in fact, they knew from the beginning of their catastrophic global warming narrative that they were lying.
SUMMARY – THE COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS AND VACCINES FRAUD
Correct Covid-19 Lockdown and “Vaccine” Predictions from 2020 and 2021:
I called this global-scale Covid-19 a fraud on 21March2020 and was correct. I wrote then that the full lockdowns were unjustified and net-harmful. Sweden’s successful “No-Lockdown” experience has proved this statement was correct.
On 8January2021 I wrote our governments that Covid-19 vaccines were highly toxic and not effective – and this has also proved correct, to our great detriment.
Based on Alberta total deaths data, my estimate of worldwide deaths to 31Dec2022 from these toxic Covid-19 injections is 13 million, increasing to 19 million by end2023, unless we take steps ASAP to treat the vaxxed.
That 13 million estimate was recently confirmed by Rancourt et al (Feb2023).
Our idiot authorities and their bought press continue to think they can hide carnage this forever - two Holocausts, three by end2023. Nothing to see here...
No one should trust the fraudulent-and-harmful “Lockdown and Vaccine” narrative, or those who have been pushing this dangerous scam.
In addition:
Our current CO2 levels are in the neighborhood of 400 ppm. There was a time at the beginning of the Eocene Epoch when Co2 level were from 700 to 900 ppm. This was a time when the Earth was virtually ice free! If we take what the Climate Alarmists are telling us today, life on this planet should have been wiped out and the planet should have been rendered uninhabitable from that time forward! Earth should have become "Another Venus!" It did not! Life flourished on this much warmer ice free world.
These changes happened over millennia! Humans could not burn enough fossil fuel in 1,000 years, even 100,000 years to increase the CO2 level that high! These levels were reached over a time when the Earth was experiencing massive volcanic activity over millions of years.
What lowered CO2 levels and brought these warm times to an end in just over 49 million years!? Life! Plants absorbed CO2 through photosynthesis, died and sank into the ground or to the bottom of the ocean. Trapping Carbon inside the earth. Much of the oil, gas and coal we use today came from this time period!
Will Earth ever become the next Venus? No it will not, no matter what man does.
Venus is closer to the sun, has a rotational day slightly less than the length of its revolutionary year, therefor a square mile of Venus surface faces the sun for approximately 2/3 of its year, Venus is being stretched by tidal forces by the sun resulting in increased volcanic activity, thus the cause of the high CO2 and Sulfur in its atmosphere! Venus does not have what Earth does! LIFE! Life is the consummate "Energy consumer!" Using and storing the energy of the sun!
So, by all things SCIENCE! The position than "man" is destroying the Earth through his activities using fossil fuels is completely preposterous!
As we all know, science progresses best when people in authority declare what theories are true and which are false, and then censor and silence anyone who disagrees. This saves a lot of time and effort that would otherwise have been wasted on theories that the authorities have already decided are wrong. Just imagine how much further along science would be today if only the elites had been more forceful about silencing trouble-makers like Galileo, Pasteur, and Columbus.
"Formal weather stations, which before the mid-1800s were mostly in Europe and the US, became ubiquitous enough by 1880 to provide a robust picture of global temperature."
All of which coincides with 2 events, the end of the "little ice age" and the start of the Industrial Revolution. So, if as the global warming alarmists say, the earth is warming due to man burning fossil fuels we should see a recorded increase in global temperature from 1880 to today?
But that is absolutely, provably not the case!
You can go here and get weather station data from over 200 US cities going back over 130 years depending on the city.
https://kilthub.cmu.edu/articles/dataset/Compiled_daily_temperature_and_precipitation_data_for_the_U_S_cities/7890488?file=25952639
This data contains daily minimum and maximum temperatures.
With a little Excel skills you can chart out "Average Yearly Temperatures" for any of these Cities.
I have done this for a random sample of these cities. (I have not done them all but that is a project I will be doing.)
I've charted out Miami FL, Topeka KS, Lincoln NB, Cheyenne WY, None of these show any appreciable increase in temperature over 130 years. NONE! In fact the charts are as close to a straight line as one might get with this kind of data. What these charts show is that average yearly temperature of these cities does not change by more than a few degrees each year over a 130 year period. The same 130 years that humans have been burning fossil fuel! The main cause of warming the alarmists cite!*
So any declaration that "Last year was the warmest year on record." is an absolute LIE!
John's article is absolutely spot on! I invite him to do exactly what I've done and he will see that the evidence is indisputable and reproducible! Exactly what "Science" as all about!
*Obviously I cannot post the charts here but look me up on twitter and find any of my tweets re: Climate Change and you'll find these charts. @OldGeek9
I haven't looked at the data like you have, and it's very interesting, because it certainly flies in the face of what I read. I will say one thing that certainly could create the appearance of warming- how much has the global population increased since 1880? How has the area around these weather stations changed- is a once rural suburb that has changed into an large urban city full of air conditioned buildings a potential "heat island?" Thanks.
When someone says, "You must believe me because I have these impressive credentials" -- he has a fancy diploma or he works for an organization with an impressive-sounding name -- I immediately doubt them. If what you are saying is true, show me the evidence. If you have solid evidence, then your credentials are superfluous. If you don't have evidence, then your credentials are irrelevant.
Excellent comments by jay and Clifra Jones- sorting out the facts by looking at the data is using the telescope with the little end towards you. Starting with the politics, then cherry picking the data is like swinging the scope around and seeing almost nothing. My skepticism certainly includes academics, esp given the leftist slant in professorships, but look at what happens to a global warming prediction that is supposed to happen within a short time span, like Al Gore's glacier melting/sea rise, yet Biden has John Kerry running around like Al was right or something. What will happen in what, 10 years from now, when Greta Thunberg's "end of life on our planet" warning proves to be as ridiculous as it sounds? The smart grifters at least have realized that they'd better make their predictions 80 to 100 years out, so no one will be alive to rebuke them when they prove to be bogus. So much of the COVID response was hysterical- "We've got to do SOMETHING!"- then it evolved into Kabuki theater, shaming, totalitarianism, and virtue signaling that must be enforced even after the facts from studies and data came out. If it really was smart to quarantine everybody when they were 99+% likely to survive anyways, why isn't the speed limit on the interstates set at 20 MPH, if safety is the only thing that matters? Of course it shouldn't have been done the way it was, but our corporate media did a wonderful job of panicking the flock of sheep. Thanks, John, for making this connection.
The bright spot I see in all this is that it may lead people to be more rightly skeptical when someone says, "Science has proven that ..." Is there really convincing scientific evidence? Or is that just something that the elites find pleasant or convenient to believe? The elites have been pulling this "if you question me you're a crazy anti-science fanatic" on many subjects: covid, global warming, evolution, etc.
SCIENTIFIC COMPETENCE – THE ABILITY TO CORRECTLY PREDICT
https://correctpredictions.ca/
By Allan M.R. MacRae, Calgary, October 20, 2021, Update March 14, 2023
https://energy-experts-international.com
"The ability to correctly predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence."
Following are the correct predictions of Allan MacRae and colleagues on two important subjects:
– GLOBAL WARMING ALARMISM
– COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS AND ”VACCINES”
Our scientific predictions on both these subjects are infinitely more accurate than the mainstream narratives, which have been false and baselessly alarmist to date.
The Climate and Covid fraudsters even linked the two frauds, saying “To solve Covid we must also solve Climate – utter nonsense, spouted by the usual woke imbeciles.
SUMMARY - THE CLIMATE AND GREEN ENERGY FRAUD
Correct Climate and Energy Predictions from 2002:
In 2002 co-authors Dr Sallie Baliunas, Astrophysicist, Harvard-Smithsonian, Dr Tim Patterson, Paleoclimatologist, Carleton, Ottawa and Allan MacRae published:
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
The Greens’ Predictive Climate and Energy Record is the Worst
The ability to predict is the best objective measure of scientific and technical competence.
Climate doomsters have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – every very-scary climate prediction, of the ~80 they have made since 1970, has FAILED TO HAPPEN.
“Rode and Fischbeck, professor of Social & Decision Sciences and Engineering & Public Policy, collected 79 predictions of climate-caused apocalypse going back to the first Earth Day in 1970. With the passage of time, many of these forecasts have since expired; the dates have come and gone uneventfully. In fact, 48 (61%) of the predictions have already expired as of the end of 2020.”
By the end of 2020, the climate doomsters were proved wrong in their scary climate predictions 48 times. At 50:50 odds for each prediction, that is like flipping a coin 48 times and losing every time! The probability of that being mere random stupidity is 1 in 281 trillion! It’s not just global warming scientists being stupid.
But no sensible person makes a 50:50 prediction – at 60:40 the odds against being this wrong are 1 in 13 quintillion; at 70:30 the odds against being this wrong are 1 in 13 septillion.
These climate doomsters have not been telling the truth – they displayed a dishonest bias in their analyses that caused these extremely improbable falsehoods, these frauds.
The global warming alarmists have a perfect NEGATIVE predictive track record – they have been 100% wrong about every scary climate prediction – so nobody should believe them.
There is a powerful logic that says no rational person or group could be this wrong for this long – the warming alarmists have followed a corrupt agenda – in fact, they knew from the beginning of their catastrophic global warming narrative that they were lying.
SUMMARY – THE COVID-19 LOCKDOWNS AND VACCINES FRAUD
Correct Covid-19 Lockdown and “Vaccine” Predictions from 2020 and 2021:
I called this global-scale Covid-19 a fraud on 21March2020 and was correct. I wrote then that the full lockdowns were unjustified and net-harmful. Sweden’s successful “No-Lockdown” experience has proved this statement was correct.
On 8January2021 I wrote our governments that Covid-19 vaccines were highly toxic and not effective – and this has also proved correct, to our great detriment.
Based on Alberta total deaths data, my estimate of worldwide deaths to 31Dec2022 from these toxic Covid-19 injections is 13 million, increasing to 19 million by end2023, unless we take steps ASAP to treat the vaxxed.
That 13 million estimate was recently confirmed by Rancourt et al (Feb2023).
https://denisrancourt.ca/entries.php?id=126&name=2023_02_09_age_stratified_covid_19_vaccine_dose_fatality_rate_for_israel_and_australia
Our idiot authorities and their bought press continue to think they can hide carnage this forever - two Holocausts, three by end2023. Nothing to see here...
No one should trust the fraudulent-and-harmful “Lockdown and Vaccine” narrative, or those who have been pushing this dangerous scam.