“When the group or a civilization declines, it is through no mystic limitation of a corporate life, but through the failure of its political or intellectual leaders to meet the challenges of change. The challenges may come from a dozen sources, and may by repetition or combination rise to a destructive intensity...The concentration of wealth may disrupt the nation in class or race war. The concentration of population and poverty in great cities may compel a government to choose between enfeebling the economy with a dole and running the risk of riot and revolution. Since inequality grows in an expanding economy, a society may find itself divided between a cultured minority and a majority of men and women too unfortunate by nature or circumstance to inherit or develop standards of excellence and taste. As this majority grows it acts as a cultural drag upon the minority; its ways of speech, dress, recreation, feeling, judgment, and thought spread upward, and internal barbarization by the majority is part of the price that the minority pays for its control of educational and economic opportunity. As education spreads, theologies lose credence, and receive an external conformity without influence upon conduct or hope. Life and ideas become increasingly secular, ignoring supernatural explanations and fears. The moral code loses aura and force as its human origin is revealed, and as divine surveillance and sanctions are removed. In ancient Greece the philosophers destroyed the old faith among the educated classes; in many nations of modern Europe the philosophers achieved similar results.” -- Will and Ariel Durant
“The miracle of liberal democratic capitalism is not self-sustaining. Turn your back on its maintenance and it will fall apart. Take it for granted and people will start reverting to their natural impulses of tribalism. The best will lack all conviction and the worst will be full of passionate intensity. Things will fall apart.” – Jonah Goldberg
If you’re a fan of mixed martial arts, there’s a pattern you’ll see repeated over and over again if you watch long enough. Some fighter will come along who will be an absolute killer. He’ll wreck almost everyone that steps in front of him until he gets to his early to mid-thirties. At that point, he’ll look the same, sound the same and appear to fight the same, but suddenly, he’ll lose almost every fight he has. Why? It’s usually hard to say exactly. Did he just lose a little bit of that animal energy people in their early twenties have in abundance? Did too many injuries accumulate and slow him down? Has he just gotten too set in his ways and not kept up with the way the fight game evolved? Maybe it’s just that people have been watching his fights so long that they know all of his weaknesses and know how to take advantage of them. Whatever the case may be, those guys tend to go on long, ugly slides. It often gets to the point where even if they’re one of your favorite fighters, you just want to see them retire so you don’t have to watch them get knocked out by guys who could have never beaten them a few years ago.
Nations tend to fall apart in a roughly equivalent way. They have a breakdown here, a breakdown there, make some bad policy decisions, their government gets too big, regulations get too plentiful, and nobody quite recognizes how bad things are because the country still seems to be limping along, with most people believing things are fine just like they’ve always been, until some major shock to the system hits. At that point, their weakness, fragility, and inability to adapt leave them unable to handle the challenge they’re facing and the whole thing falls to pieces.
Americans in particular tend to be blind to our country’s weaknesses because liberals tend to see our nation as a magical money store with unlimited wealth that was bequeathed to us by our primitive, inferior ancestors who didn’t even have personal pronouns. Meanwhile, conservatives are so focused on defending America from the slander aimed at it by terrorists and woke socialists that we often paper over issues that should concern us. Yes, America is #1. So was Mike Tyson until Evander Holyfield beat him twice in a row and he never became heavyweight champion again.
So, are we still the America that saved the world in WW1 and WW2 and led the free world to a victory over the Soviet Union in the Cold War? A hyperpower that is more militarily and economically powerful than any nation in history? A country that takes pride in freeing millions and spreading our incredible culture all over the world? Are we still that “shining city on a hill” that Reagan talked about?
Not exactly.
There was a time when American culture embraced a Protestant work ethic, merit, Christian ethics, and the rule of law. Back then? Almost the entire planet would have benefitted from adopting our culture. Today, we have a toxic, decadent culture that celebrates victimhood, nihilism, and putting race above individuality. Having a culture like ours is something that you’d wish on an enemy, not something you’d want for a friend.
We take pride in the ways that we’re better than previous generations of Americans. Certainly, we’re richer, less racist, and much better educated. Great, what about everything else? Are we more physically fit than previous generations? Do we have a better work ethic? Are we more moral? Are we having more or fewer children? Are we more or less likely to get married? How about staying married? More polite? Are we softer or stronger? Are we more cowardly or more courageous? Do we have more or less practical skills? Nobody was having trouble figuring out what their gender was or what bathroom they should be using 50 years ago, that’s for sure. I think about my grandfather. He never went to college, but he did fight in WW2. He was also able to build part of the house he lived in, fix a car, butcher a hog, grow crops, and hunt for food. Yes, I can do a lot of things he could never do, but it doesn’t escape me how much less capable the average American, myself included, is than many members of the “Greatest Generation.”
We’re also becoming less capable in many other ways. Think about how incredible it is that America put a man on the moon with the technology we had back in 1969. Have we gone to Jupiter since then? Saturn? No. We haven’t even been back to the moon since 1972 and our best hope for visiting another planet is Elon Musk, not our government. Americans used to be known as the greatest builders on Planet Earth. Our production of tanks, ships, and planes saved the world in WW2. We built Hoover Dam, the Interstate Highway System, and the United States had the tallest building in the world from 1899 to 1998. But today? The world has passed us by on that front. China was able to build a 645,000 square foot hospital in 10 days to fight COVID. Here’s India creating a 10-story building in 48 hours:
Consider some of the revolutionary technological advances that have come along over the last 150 years:
1876: The Telephone
1879: Electric Lights
1885: Automobiles
1901: Radio
1903: Airplanes
1927: Television
1937: Computers
1942: Nuclear Power
1947: Microwaves
1957: Space Flight
Look at that amazing 81-year run. It’s incredible, right? Can you imagine what you’d expect the future to look like if you grew up in that period? Now, what are the big inventions since then?
1973: Cell Phones
1974: Personal computers
1974: The Internet
Maybe after Elon Musk gets us to Mars, he’ll have time to perfect the self-driving car and add something to that list. We may need to clone him. Maybe we can have him work on that next.
Setting that aside, how about our government? Are they competent? Do you look at people like Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Mitch McConnell, and AOC while thinking, “Wow, we’re so lucky to have competent, selfless, serious people like this leading our country.” No? So, when did that change? Because there are certainly plenty of American political leaders of the past we could point to that fit that definition, even if we didn’t agree with them politically. Presidents from both parties have moved towards governing with dubiously legal executive orders since it’s nearly impossible for both parties to come together on anything that doesn’t involve wasting large amounts of taxpayer money. Do you know when America’s last budget surplus was? 2001. Meanwhile, our spending is completely out of control and getting worse with no expectation of significant improvement anywhere on the horizon. The Democratic Party is now talking about taxing “unrealized capital gains,” which is insane and is promoting the idea of a global minimum tax, which is a clear sign that they believe America’s bloated government makes it impossible for us to compete in the marketplace without rigging the game in our favor.
Many Americans at least take solace in the fact that we have a powerful, respected military, but they have yet to realize that the world has started to catch up to us on that front. America just suffered our most humiliating defeat since Vietnam in Afghanistan, where we spent 20 years fighting to replace the Taliban with the Taliban as we ran away and left Americans behind. Yes, it’s true that no military force on earth could invade the United States and that we’re more than a match for mediocre militaries, but it’s also true that the gap between the United States and China is much smaller. For example, if China decided to invade Taiwan and the US decided to stand against them, it’s entirely possible (I’d say probable) our military would lose that fight and even if we won, it would likely cost tens of thousands of American lives. Of course, even that sets aside the fact that China can hit the US mainland with missiles and could quite possibly cause havoc with cyberwarfare. Would it go that far? Hopefully not, but the point is that it could and that our military is still very good, but is far from the dominant, unstoppable force it was a few decades ago.
We could go on and on with this. How well has the United States done at tackling COVID? Not well. How much trust do Americans have in institutions? Not much. How is the Christian church faring? Badly. Are we controlling our borders? No. Do we have a strong, effective press? No. Are we becoming more or less free? Less. Is the government getting bigger or smaller? Bigger. Are Americans coming together or moving apart? Moving apart.
This is a nation with a lot of resources, advantages, and strengths. We are certainly capable of changing course, but to do that, we first need to acknowledge that we’re on the wrong path. That starts with seeing the decline and it ends with either doing something about it or letting it destroy everything that made this a great nation in the first place.
Right on target. Moral equivication is the root of much of our decline; many people simply lack the strength of their convictions and will back down from simply telling someone "no." We look to compromise even in areas that don't make sense, like multiple gender pronouns. In my state, it stems from the moral cowardice of not having a death penalty. "We" are so a-sceered that we might execute an innocent person that we'll let thousands of dangerous, degenerate monsters live, at taxpayer expense, rather than do the right thing and move forward as a healthier society. At least Christians can take solace in the fact that God will judge our individual actions- yes, He will punish a nation that turns to evil, but faithful believers will be rewarded.
Unfortunately, your essay covers our limits, deficits, and shortcomings without hyperbole. Sometimes I go over and peruse humanprogress.org looking for a spark of hopefulness, but often come away with a niggling worry of what unintended consequences might arise from innovations that sound good or promising for the betterment of humanity.
So much of what has happened to our culture since the 60's seems like a plunge into ignorance, decadence, violence and prurience, yet humans do have a propensity for focusing on the negative and being pessimistic. As noted in this article from the Upworthy website "Seven Amazing Trends the Media Ignores That'll Make You Feel Great About the Future" https://www.upworthy.com/7-amazing-facts-the-media-ignores?rebelltitem=9#rebelltitem9 being hypersensitive to the negative is a built in characteristic that evolution hasn't eradicated, and probably never will. The seven trends listed are positive, but someone with a desire to refute their positivity could probably do so fairly easily.
I'm no Pollyanna so I'll prepare for the worst and hope for the best.